Selective sweeps in SARS-CoV-2 variant competition.

The main mathematical result in this paper is that change of variables in the ordinary differential equation (ODE) for the competition of two infections in a Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model shows that the fraction of cases due to the new variant satisfies the logistic differential equation, which models selective sweeps. Fitting the logistic to data from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID) shows that this correctly predicts the rapid turnover from one dominant variant to another. In addition, our fitting gives sensible estimates of the increase in infectivity. These arguments are applicable to any epidemic modeled by SIR equations.

Accelerated LD-based selective sweep detection using GPUs and FPGAs

Selective sweep detection carries theoretical significance and has several practical implications, from explaining the adaptive evolution of a species in an environment to understanding the emergence of viruses from animals, such as SARS-CoV-2, and their transmission from human to human. The plethora of available genomic data for population genetic analyses, however, poses various computational challenges to existing methods and tools, leading to prohibitively long analysis times. In this work, we accelerate LD (Linkage Disequilibrium) - based selective sweep detection using GPUs and FPGAs on personal computers and datacenter infrastructures. LD has been previously efficiently accelerated with both GPUs and FPGAs. However, LD alone cannot serve as an indicator of selective sweeps. Here, we complement previous research with dedicated accelerators for the ω statistic, which is a direct indicator of a selective sweep. We evaluate performance of our accelerator solutions for computing the w statistic and for a complete sweep detection method, as implemented by the open-source software OmegaPlus. In comparison with a single CPU core, the FPGA accelerator delivers up to 57.1× and 61.7× faster computation of the ω statistic and the complete sweep detection analysis, respectively. The respective attained speedups by the GPU-accelerated version of OmegaPlus are 2.9× and 12.9×. The GPU-accelerated implementation is available for download here: https://github.com/MrKzn/omegaplus.git. © 2022 IEEE.

Ancient Adaptative Evolution of ACE2 in East Asians.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been posing an unprecedented challenge to global public health. SARS-CoV-2 and several other coronaviruses utilize angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) as their entry receptors. The ACE2 gene has been found to experience episodic positive selection across mammals. However, much remains unknown about how the ACE2 gene evolved in human populations. Here, we use population genetics approaches to investigate the evolution of the ACE2 gene in 26 human populations sampled globally. We find the ACE2 gene exhibits an extremely low nucleotide diversity in the East Asian populations. Strong signals of selective sweep are detected in the East Asian populations, but not in the other human populations. The selective sweep in ACE2 is estimated to begin in East Asian populations ∼23,600 years ago. Our study provides novel insights into the evolution of the ACE2 gene within human populations.

A selective sweep in the Spike gene has driven SARS-CoV-2 human adaptation.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic underscores the need to better understand animal-to-human transmission of coronaviruses and adaptive evolution within new hosts. We scanned more than 182,000 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) genomes for selective sweep signatures and found a distinct footprint of positive selection located around a non-synonymous change (A1114G; T372A) within the spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD), predicted to remove glycosylation and increase binding to human ACE2 (hACE2), the cellular receptor. This change is present in all human SARS-CoV-2 sequences but not in closely related viruses from bats and pangolins. As predicted, T372A RBD bound hACE2 with higher affinity in experimental binding assays. We engineered the reversion mutant (A372T) and found that A372 (wild-type [WT]-SARS-CoV-2) enhanced replication in human lung cells relative to its putative ancestral variant (T372), an effect that was 20 times greater than the well-known D614G mutation. Our findings suggest that this mutation likely contributed to SARS-CoV-2 emergence from animal reservoirs or enabled sustained human-to-human transmission.

Identifying Potentially Beneficial Genetic Mutations Associated with Monophyletic Selective Sweep and a Proof-of-Concept Study with Viral Genetic Data.

Genetic mutations play a central role in evolution. For a significantly beneficial mutation, a one-time mutation event suffices for the species to prosper and predominate through the process called "monophyletic selective sweep." However, existing methods that rely on counting the number of mutation events to detect selection are unable to find such a mutation in selective sweep. We here introduce a method to detect mutations at the single amino acid/nucleotide level that could be responsible for monophyletic selective sweep evolution. The method identifies a genetic signature associated with selective sweep using the population genetic test statistic Tajima's D We applied the algorithm to ebolavirus, influenza A virus, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 to identify known biologically significant mutations and unrecognized mutations associated with potential selective sweep. The method can detect beneficial mutations, possibly leading to discovery of previously unknown biological functions and mechanisms related to those mutations.IMPORTANCE In biology, research on evolution is important to understand the significance of genetic mutation. When there is a significantly beneficial mutation, a population of species with the mutation prospers and predominates, in a process called "selective sweep." However, there are few methods that can find such a mutation causing selective sweep from genetic data. We here introduce a novel method to detect such mutations. Applying the method to the genomes of ebolavirus, influenza viruses, and the novel coronavirus, we detected known biologically significant mutations and identified mutations the importance of which is previously unrecognized. The method can deepen our understanding of molecular and evolutionary biology.